Week 1 of the 2016 season featured a slate that wasn’t exactly passion inducing for most of the Big Ten. Such is the case when there’s just one marquee matchup and bunch of cupcakes or mismatches happening (looking at you Rutgers).
Considering the lack of hype behind the matchups heading in to the first week of the season, there was certainly no shortage of impressions made by Big Ten teams. What with a surprising home loss by one team, another setting crazy offensive records and still another making a big national statement with an upset of a SEC team — plenty of impressions were made.
Let’s take a look at what stood out to us from Week 1
Time Not to Panic for Northwestern
We’re going to start with a negative impression, as the Wildcats were the only Big Ten team to drop a game they were favored in. How did a loss to Western Michigan happen?
It certainly wasn’t because of a lack of improvement from Clayton Thorson (late-game fumble near the goal line notwithstanding). Nor was it a lack of quality play in the run game, as Justin Jackson went for 124 yards and three touchdowns (including a 46-yard TD run).
Northwestern’s main problem was an inability to get off the field when it really needed to on defense. Letting any team go 4-for-4 on fourth down conversions is not a good look. It totally came back to bite Northwestern in the butt in this game.
One of those four fourth down conversions came on a 4th-and-1 and turned in to a touchdown for running back Jamauri Bogan of Western Michigan.
Let’s also remember this team is one inch or two away from having this game be a W. If it weren’t for Thorson fumbling right before the goal line late in the game, a recovery by Western Michigan and said WMU player barely stepping out-of-bounds before throwing the ball back in to the end zone and seeing Northwestern grab that ball…well, we aren’t talking about a loss.
One freak play doesn’t define a season, nor should one freak effort on fourth downs. I can guarantee you that you won’t see either of those two things combine to beat Northwestern again this season, and I can also guarantee you that the Wildcats will get a few more touchdowns through the air this season.
Wisconsin’s Win Makes Big Statement
Was it a pretty game at Lambeau Field? Absolutely not, and that was exactly to the Wisconsin Badgers’ advantage. However, the W for the Wisconsin Badgers was a massive one, not only for the team but for the Big Ten.
It was Wisconsin’s first win against an SEC team in regular season play, and the beauty of it all was that it took the entire team to get it done. The running game powered Wisconsin at times, with Bart Houston finding some big plays needed in the passing game and the special teams units playing impressively as well.
But, what was most impressive in the 16-14 victory? That has to be Wisconsin’s ability to execute its defensive gameplan nearly flawlessly. All week I was asked the question “if Wisconsin wins this game, it does it how?”
My answer was simple, make Leonard Fournette earn some hard yards early on and force LSU to become the Brandon Harris show. That’s exactly what happened early on, and Brandon Harris went just 12 of 21 for 131 yards and 1 touchdown to 2 interceptions.
As for Fournette, he did have 138 yards but was held out of the end zone and got 48 of those 138 yards on two plays in the second half.
Here’s all you really need to know about how quickly Wisconsin took Fournette out of the game — LSU’s second series of the game saw three straight passes by Harris, followed by another two passes to start the third series of the game. Notice who wasn’t given the football? All total, Fournette had just
Fournette’s biggest play came on LSU’s second touchdown drive, with Harris hitting him on a wheel route down the left sideline. When his biggest play comes in the passing game, that’s a win for the defense in a big way.
It was simply flawless and methodical execution by the Badgers defense against a LSU team that is going to win a lot of games in 2016. Big Ten teams have to be very aware that the Badgers defense isn’t taking a step back any time soon.
Ohio State’s Offense is More Dangerous Than We Thought
All offseason the question for Ohio State is how would the offense work without so many of its top skill positions players from last season. While Bowling Green’s defense is really bad, and has been for a few years now, what Ohio State did was historically impressive.
OSU set a team record for total offense, racking up 776 yards and scoring a crazy 77 points. It wasn’t just the J.T. Barrett show either, as redshirt freshman running back Mike Weber had 136 yards of offense in his debut game.
Still, six passing touchdowns and 349 yards of passing from J.T. Barrett is absolutely ridiculous to see..and it also means there are some big time weapons at his disposal on the outside. Oh, and did we mention that H-Back Curtis Samuel nearly went for 100 yards receiving and 100 yards rushing in one game?
It is safe to say this team has some offensive weapons to make teams not key on just Barrett or just the running game.
The only question that remains is if this team can keep up the explosive plays we saw on Saturday against a really bad defense. Judging by the historically great production of this team, it is highly likely this offense is going to be explosive all season long.
Just don’t expect record-setting performances against Big Ten defenses, but do expect this offense to give defenses fits all season long.
Nebraska Had A Program-Defining Moment
There’s no right way to honor a player who is taken in such a tragic and unexpected way as Nebraska punter Sam Foltz was just prior to Big Ten media days in late July. However, the Huskers showed the rest of the college football world one of the most meaningful ways a team could honor someone like Foltz I’ve ever seen.
With the Huskers forced in to a punt early on against Fresno State, the team lined up with 10 players and left Foltz’s position empty. Not only that but they took an intentional delay of game penalty for the gesture. Judging by the emotional outpouring on the Nebraska sideline, it is safe to say Foltz’s memory is going to have a last impression on his teammates and those around the program for a very long time.
If you haven’t seen the moment, check it out here:
Oh, and big ups to Fresno State for getting what that penalty was about and declining it, as well as the yardage that could’ve been gained. In a world full of press clippings for all the bad things happening off the field, this was equally as important to remember.
Beyond the awesomeness of the moment, it also appears that this tragedy has only served to make this team tighter. It should help given the schedule the Huskers have in 2016, but the key is to take that feeling, bottle it up and unleash that energy every week.
It will be interesting to see how the Huskers take on the rest of the season, because they sure played with all the emotion needed to beat Fresno State and then some.
Ohio State vs. Oklahoma: Will this decision cause real reform for College Football Playoff?
We just got done witnessing one of the greatest offensive performances in Big Ten championship game history. No. 6 Ohio State just put up a 45-24 beat down on No. 21 Northwestern to gain its record third Big Ten championship game title.
Quarterback Dwayne Haskins threw for a record-setting 499 yards and five touchdowns in the win. He also threw for six touchdowns in the regular season finale beatdown of then No. 4 Michigan.
Yet, the Buckeyes could be left without an opportunity to compete for a national championship.
Meanwhile, No. 5 ranked Oklahoma avenged an earlier loss to rival Texas in the Big 12 championship game just prior to what took place in Indianapolis.
Yet, Oklahoma is in danger of not being involved in the College Football Playoff either.
That’s because at the same time, No. 1 Alabama just got its backup quarterback to lead a comeback from two touchdowns down (twice) against then No. 4 Georgia.
Yet, here we are the day of the fifth College Football Playoff announcement in history and some are honestly suggesting that the Bulldogs are the team the College Football Playoff committee should be selecting.
The problem is, how do you define the “best” teams in college football? Does record matter? Does who you lost to matter? What about the schedule you faced? How about the wins you have on your resume?
When the College Football Playoff was first implemented, it was sold as a cure-all for what was ailing the old BCS system — subjectivity.
Well, to be fair, at first it was an over-reliance on computers and their complete lack of subjectivity. Then the BCS swung completely the other way, relying on human polls that were completely flawed as well.
The answer was supposed to be to take the four best teams and let them duke it out on the field for a championship. After all, with over 120 teams in the FBS, there could only be four teams capable of winning a national title every year, right?
The CFB Playoff committee lucked out in the first few years of the new format. Everyone played nice and the four teams they chose were really obvious ones — names that earned the right by winning conference titles and putting beatdowns on opponents in conference title games (Florida State in 2014 excluded).
But, what happened when things weren’t so crystal clear at the top of the polls anymore? Well, there was no clear-cut system in place to help guid the committee and over the past three years we’ve found out that subjectivity has really sucked.
We’ve managed to see a Big Ten champion get leap-frogged by a team who didn’t even win the division that the Big Ten champion came from. We’ve seen the SEC get two teams in to a four-team playoff and on and on.
It would be one thing if there was some clear-cut understanding of what it takes to make it to the College Football Playoff — and yes, I fully am aware that no two seasons are alike.
So, the question now becomes how to make things easy to understand and to take the subjectivity out of a flawed committee. Let’s not forget that once Oklahoma and Ohio State are in the picture this weekend, the committee is only left with 10 of its 13 voices – four of which are SEC linked.
Nothing says objective like conference allegiances to make conspiracy theories run wild.
But, if by some miracle the Big Ten champion Ohio State Buckeyes make it in to the College Football Playoff this year, the conference would avoid three straight seasons without its champion in the College Football Playoff.
The more likely scenario however is that Oklahoma jumps to No. 4 and replaces Georgia. There’s also a real push by some in the media like Kirk Herbstreit and Stewart Mandel ($) to put Georgia right back in to the mix.
You know, because losing by 20-something points to a 3-loss LSU team and then getting another shot to prove yourself and blowing a two-touchdown lead not once, but twice should get you in.
Nevermind all of that talk and all of those questions. We’re here to hopefully provide solutions and not just bitch and piss and moan.
The point here is that five years in the College Football Playoff and we are here having the exact same arguments we were having throughout the entire BCS era.
Tell me again what the College Football Playoff has solved for college football?
Until the powers that be decide that getting a real champion matters more than how it makes money off of bowl games, nothing is going to change.
So, here is my solution that should make things almost bulletproof and make the vast majority of people happy.
Step 1: All five of the Power 5 champions get in to the College Football Playoff regardless of record.
Winning the five biggest and baddest conferences in the land should matter, regardless of your record. You’ve likely gotten this far by having to beat some of the best teams in the country, even if it was only in the conference title game.
Step 2: Add in three more teams to the mix for a total of 8 teams in the College Football Playoff.
Step 3: If a Group of 5 champion is undefeated, they get an automatic berth as one of the remaining 3 teams.
What happens if more than one Group of 5 team ends the season undefeated? See Step 4.
Step 4: How do you determine the remaining at-large berths?
It has to be a combination of numbers and human critical thinking. What we’ve seen over the past two decades is college football swinging too far towards numbers and then over-correcting the other way towards humans.
Here’s my proposal — get the committee in a room with some of the best analytical minds in the game. There are some really great things happening with numbers to back up what the eye is usually seeing on Saturday’s in the fall. The folks at Pro Football Focus, Football Outsiders and others are putting data to use to help better inform what is really happening on the field.
Why not use those minds to help inform the debate that will happen over the final three teams in, or in the case of multiple undefeated Group of 5 champions (which hasn’t happened in the CFB Playoff era by the way)?
Take their data points, whether in a formalized system or each set of data points on their own, as a start to the debate and go from there. I mean, can you imagine being able to settle a debate about Oklahoma and Ohio State by simply saying, look the data suggests that XYZ team objectively played a better season or that we chose XYZ team because we believe this data point suggests their offense outweighed ABC’s defense and would win a game on the field?
Clearly the committee needs help and getting real data minds in to the mix would be the exact help this group needs.
To be clear, this doesn’t end all debate, because that 9th team is certainly going to be pissed, but the reality is that is going to be the case unless you’re playing a single-elimination tournament throughout the season.
Step 5: Make the Data transparent
One of the biggest problems with the old computer polls was that it was hard to understand the formulas and data being used to come up with their rankings.
This time around, let’s make the set of data being used transparent. Luckily, Football Outsiders and the S&P+ rankings are as transparent as they come. Pro Football Focus is behind a pay wall, but they could give the committee full access to what is behind the curtain so to speak.
The more data and the more transparent that data is, the more people can trust that it works. Right now, no one trusts that the committee is going to do the right thing, and that’s a major problem.
Step 6: Seed conference champions 1-5 and at-large teams 6-8
Do we really need to explain this one? Seed No. 1 plays Seed No. 8 in the quarterfinals…so forth and so on until a champion is crowned.
It really isn’t that hard. But, the logistics and money will always make it hard. So how do we please everyone? See Step 7.
Step 7: Quarterfinals after a bye week following conference championship weekend
I love a good bowl game like the rest of America, so let’s play the four big ones (sorry Cotton and Peach bowls) as host sites for the quarterfinals. Hell, you could even convince me to go back to the days of the Big Ten vs. Pac-12 always in the Rose Bowl and Big 12 vs. SEC in the Sugar Bowl and leave the ACC champion to play the Group of 5 representative or remaining highest seed.
Personally, I’d be even more apt to play these games at the house of the 1st through 4th seeds and blow up the antiquated bowl system all together.
Take your pick of any of the above, but don’t tell me the money won’t be there either way.
Step 8: National Championship game is played on New Year’s Day
Tradition is what makes the college football game so great. So, we’ll play the national championship game on New Year’s Day to help appease those who don’t want to totally let go of the olden days. Also, we avoid the issue of the NFL playoffs.
Yes, I realize that the day of the game would change every year but in terms of getting eyeballs on the game this is the best chance for the most eyes.
Step 9: Stop with 6-6 teams making bowl games period
I’m sorry, but if you can’t have a winning season at a minimum, you don’t deserve to go bowling. It reduces the clutter and more importantly makes the season continue to mean more.
But what about the bowl game practices and such? Ok, let’s allow all teams 10 practices of 2 hours each between the 1st week of the playoffs and New Years Day. Sound good to everyone?
If you have better ideas, let us hear them below…what we do know is the system currently in place is not workable.
Haskins record-setting night powers Buckeyes to Big Ten title
Dwayne Haskins set all sorts of records this season for the Ohio State Buckeyes and in the Big Ten. He did it again on Saturday night, powering the No. 6 Buckeyes to a 45-24 victory over No. 21 Northwestern.
Haskins set a Big Ten championship game with 499 yards passing and five touchdown passes.
Ohio State’s victory is their third in the Big Ten title game, setting a record for the most wins for any team in the conference.
Three different Buckeyes receivers caught touchdowns, with Johnnie Dixon getting seven receptions for 129 yards and one touchdown to lead the way. Fellow senior Terry McLaurin had just three receptions, but two were for scores and he finished with 78 yards of his own.
Northwestern’s Clayton Thorson just couldn’t keep pace with Haskins on the night, despite throwing for a respectable 267 yards of his own. It only resulted in one touchdown.
Ohio State got the ball first and marched right down the field on Northwestern. The Buckeyes took just seven plays to go up 7-0 as star quarterback Dwayne Haskins made a spectacular final play of the drive.
After looking dead to rights for a sack, he escaped and scrambled away from further pressure to find wide receiver Terry McLaurin in the end zone for a 16-yard touchdown strike.
Northwestern had a big answer to that play only a few minutes later, as running back John Moten IV scampered 77 yards off the left side of the line to even the score at 7-7 with 6:27 to play in the 1st quarter.
Just as Ohio State’s big moment wasn’t a harbinger of things to come, neither was Northwestern’s.
Instead, the game settled down for a bit and it stayed close for the majority of the first half.
Ohio State answered the Wildcats touchdown with an 8-play, 65-yard drive to go back on top 14-7 with just over three minutes to go in the first quarter.
What looked like a shootout never materialized in large part because the Buckeyes defense stood strong. Northwestern could pick up only 160 yards of total offense in the first half and turned the ball over twice.
Ohio State only managed three points off those turnovers, but also kept the Wildcats offense off balance almost all half.
The Buckeyes also capitalized on its defensive stops, putting a huge 42-yard touchdown pass from Haskins to McLaurin — his second of the half — to go up 24-7 with just 1:21 to play in the first half.
Haskins finished the half by going 18-22 passing for 249 yards and two touchdowns with an interception. Conversely, Thorson was just 8-18 for 58 yards and an interception for the Wildcats.
The play of the two quarterbacks was the biggest difference in the scoreline in the half.
That all changed quickly out of the half, as Northwestern came out fired up. It led to a pair of quick touchdowns to start the second half. Thorson was red hot and the Wildcats made it 24-21 on an 18-yard touchdown run by the senior quarterback and a 2-yard pass to Cameron Green with 8:03 to go in the third quarter.
By that point, the Wildcats had equaled their offensive production for the entire first half and Thorson managed to throw for more yardage than he did in the first half as well.
But, the Buckeyes weren’t going to let things slip away easily. Haskins continued his master class with his third touchdown pass in two games to Chris Olave to make it 31-21.
After a field goal cut the lead back to a single score, Haskins continued to rip up the Wildcats defense. He ripped off his fourth touchdown of the game, connecting with Johnnie Dixon on a 9-yard strike with just 9:11 to play.
Haskins capped off his record-setting night and put the game completely out of reach with 17-yard beauty of a pass to running back J.K. Dobbins to make it 45-24 with 4:09 to play.
With the win, Ohio State moves to 12-1 on the season and will have to wait to see what the College Football Playoff committee does tomorrow night.
Either the Buckeyes will be in the playoff thanks to Georgia’s loss in the SEC title game or they will be Rose Bowl bound and take on Pac-12 champion Washington.
2018 Big Ten Championship Game Preview: 5 Things to Know
What some may argue was one of the most intriguing and surprising seasons in recent Big Ten football history comes to a close on Saturday as the expected meets the unexpected.
It’ll be the Ohio State Buckeyes against the Northwestern Wildcats for all the Big Ten marbles. For Ohio State it also means a potential berth in the College Football Playoffs are on the line.
All week long we will take an in-depth look at this unexpected matchup. It starts today with a look at the 5 things to know about these two teams.
5: Northwestern’s 5th in scoring defense in the Big Ten
That may not be a mind-blowing stat, but believe it or not the Wildcats have the better defense going in to this game and that can matter a lot when the nerves and dust settles on this game.
Northwestern is allowing an average of just 21.7 points per game this season. Only three teams scored 30 points or more on the Wildcats — Akron, Nebraska and Notre Dame.
Conversely, six of the last eight opponents have failed to score 20 or more points and only Michigan (20) and Nebraska (31) scored more than 20 points on Northwestern in Big Ten play.
On the flip side, Ohio State’s defense comes in 7th in the Big Ten — giving up 25.8 points per game and allowing 40 touchdowns to opponents.
4: This is Ohio State’s 4th Big Ten championship game appearance
It seems like old hat at this point, but the Buckeyes aren’t the record holders for most appearances in the title game just yet. That honor belongs to the Wisconsin Badgers with five appearances.
Still, no other team knows the ins and outs of Lucas Oil Stadium as well as the Buckeyes or Badgers do. That experience inside the stadium and with all the things happening around the game will matter a bit, especially early on in this game.
OSU holds a 2-1 record in the three previous games, beating Wisconsin twice and losing a 34-24 decision to Michigan State in 2013.
A win in this game would break a three-way tie for most title game wins with MSU and Wisconsin — all of which have won twice in Indy.
3: OSU QB Dwayne Haskins is averaging just over 3 TD passes per game
The record books have loved putting Dwayne Haskins’ name in them in 2018. I mean, he broke a record I thought never would be broken — Drew Brees’ single-season touchdown record — by throwing 42 touchdowns and counting.
Doing the mental math there, that means he is averaging 3.5 passing touchdowns per game. It also means he leads the country in passing touchdowns this season. Will Greir is next on the list, but he’s five touchdown passes behind Haskins. That’s how good of a season he’s having.
It’s led to a record-breaking six Big Ten Offensive Player of the Week awards this year. Oh, and his 4,081 yards already this year make him one of only two quarterbacks to do that in the 2018 regular season.
As for Northwestern? This could all be dangerous news, especially considering the fact that the Wildcats are 11th in the Big Ten in passing defense (238.0 yards per game). The good news is NU’s pass defense has bent, but not broken a lot — giving up just nine passing touchdowns to opponents this year.
Which will win out? The Buckeyes pass attack that gets yards and scores or the NU defense that allows yards, but not touchdowns through the air…
2: Northwestern has fumbled the ball just twice all season
One way to win close games is by not making big mistakes. Northwestern has been pretty good about that, fumbling the ball just twice this season. It’s the lowest total in the Big Ten and tied for fewest in the country with Mississippi State.
Unfortunately, the Wildcats also had 13 interceptions on the year. Only Rutgers (22), Minnesota (14) and Illinois (14) had more interceptions thrown on the year.
Ohio State’s defense has been one of the best in forcing fumbles this season. It’s 11 fumbles gained are second in the Big Ten to Indiana’s 13.
Which one will give on Saturday in Indianapolis?
1: It’s Northwestern’s first appearance in the Big Ten championship game
A lot of the talk this week will not only center on Ohio State’s CFB Playoff hopes, but also on the fact that Northwestern is making the trip to Indianapolis for the first time.
There have been seven Big Ten championship games and excluding the first ever edition of it, only one team making its first appearance in the title game has won. That was Penn State beating Wisconsin in the title game back in 2016.
In total teams are 1-3 in their first appearance in the game. It’ll be a major talking point and rightfully so, as the hoopla and extra stuff around the game make this very different than any bowl game other than the Rose Bowl for a Big Ten team.
How Fitzgerald and the Wildcats coaches handle figuring out how to handle all the extra stuff will be vital. Some will try to embrace everything that happens, others will insulate their kids. It really depends on the personality of the team and getting it right can mean as much as getting the game plan right on game day.
Pair of Big Ten players named to PFF mid-season All-American team
It hasn’t been a banner year for the Big Ten, with it seeming more and more like the days of the big two and little 10 (12 today). So, it shouldn’t come as a surprise that All-American honors are few and far between.
But, it was near barren for the Big Ten when Pro Football Focus gave out its mid-season All-American honors. Just two players — both on offense — made the cut from the conference.
Ohio State wide receiver K.J. Hill and Wisconsin right guard Beau Benzschawel were both named to the offensive All-American team.
Wisconsin running back Jonathan Taylor was named honorable mention. So was OSU defensive tackle Dre’mont Jones on the other side of the ball.
What makes Pro Football Focus’ lists so different are the fact that they are based on analyzing actual play from every player in college football throughout the season.
It means, actual play on the field dictates getting on this list and not reputation or PR.
Benzschawel is the second-highest rated guard in the country according to PFF, as they say this about his performance at the midway mark:
Benzschawel is close behind [Terrone] Prescod, grading at 81.1 as a run-blocker, good for sixth among guards while allowing only three pressures on 151 snaps in pass protection.
Much like Benzschawel, Hill is also the second highest rated player at his position. Hill trails only Colorado’s superstar receiver Laviska Shenault Jr. and has a grade of 90.9 on the season.
According to PFF, “Hill has been incredibly efficient as well, catching 85.1% of his targets while averaging 8.2 yards after the catch per reception.”
It will be interesting to see how thing shake out in the second half of the season and if players like Chase Winovich, Rashan Gary or many other of the Badgers offensive lineman grade out better.